Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.007362 0.008641 0.010171 0.012162 0.014729 0.017989 0.022546
2025-04-06 0.005590 0.007064 0.009025 0.011918 0.016250 0.022819 0.034275
2025-04-13 0.004770 0.006335 0.008577 0.012201 0.018300 0.029052 0.052167
2025-04-20 0.004324 0.005980 0.008504 0.012920 0.021200 0.038145 0.084065
2025-04-27 0.003942 0.005628 0.008330 0.013380 0.023786 0.048280 0.133050
2025-05-04 0.003565 0.005215 0.007959 0.013364 0.025398 0.057420 0.198482
2025-05-11 0.003260 0.004868 0.007632 0.013333 0.026963 0.067833 0.302750
2025-05-18 0.002969 0.004504 0.007211 0.013002 0.027677 0.076450 0.440369
2025-05-25 0.002685 0.004120 0.006695 0.012354 0.027329 0.081251 0.586888
2025-06-01 0.002463 0.003820 0.006298 0.011889 0.027339 0.087803 0.828922
2025-06-08 0.002346 0.003695 0.006221 0.012139 0.029585 0.107395 1.685806
2025-06-15 0.002213 0.003525 0.006033 0.012084 0.030873 0.124579 3.417711
2025-06-22 0.002034 0.003272 0.005673 0.011611 0.030877 0.136952 7.177342
2025-06-29 0.001895 0.003081 0.005425 0.011388 0.031780 0.159047 27.812313
2025-07-06 0.001811 0.002986 0.005365 0.011654 0.034775 0.208553 15136.250295
2025-07-13 0.001764 0.002958 0.005444 0.012329 0.040072 0.310916 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001703 0.002895 0.005438 0.012760 0.044750 0.450290 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001621 0.002781 0.005297 0.012745 0.047245 0.587693 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001545 0.002675 0.005162 0.012716 0.049753 0.777764 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001462 0.002546 0.004955 0.012405 0.050407 0.939168 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001370 0.002393 0.004676 0.011798 0.048814 0.994335 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001295 0.002269 0.004458 0.011361 0.048166 1.112670 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001257 0.002224 0.004431 0.011596 0.052467 1.763045 NaN